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Poker 101: Examples of Analysis of Poker Bluffs

If you are an avid poker player, you may have heard of the term bluffing. It’s an important part of poker and anyone who plays the game should be somewhat familiar with this strategy. Here we have analyzed 2 poker bluffing methods that you might find helpful for your next poker game.

Example 1:

In the first hand, you and your opponent play at $1 / $2 blinds and have $200 each. Your opponent raises to $8, you and another player call and the small blind folds. The flop comes 10 8 Q. You check, the opponent puts $20 in the pot with currently $25, you call, the third player gets out. On the turn comes the 5th. You check, the opponent puts $30 in the $ 65 pot. After your call comes on the river 6, you check again and your opponent puts $55 in the $125 pot.

Your opponent has bet before the flop, then against two players on the flop and on the turn and river as well. On the flop the bet was almost the pot size, on the turn half the pot. On the river it was even less than half the pot size. After the river, no flush is possible, but two straights through cards 4, 7.9, J. All in all, the board is not very scary and should be beaten by a strong hand like AA, two pairs or three of a kind.

From the betting behavior of the opponent you can see that he wants to be paid with a finished hand. He didn’t bet much on the turn or on the river, most likely not to drive you out of your hand. What hands do you play with? Most likely with only one hand like AQ or stronger. So the opponent can have QQ-AA, and he could have got a set or two pairs on the flop or turn. Even J9 is played by some very aggressive players, after all, he had a straight draw on the flop. Since all of these hands explain how your opponent is playing, he most likely has one of them. You should therefore fold before you run into a strong hand and lose a lot of money.

Example 2:

In another case, you raised a previously limping player from your hand with a raise to $15, another called. The small blind has dropped out, so there is $33 in the pot. The flop comes 4 8 7, you bet $22, the opponent calls. The turn comes 10, you and your opponent check. The 2 is revealed on the river, after your check the opponent bets $70 in a pot of $77.

Which hand does your opponent bet so much on the river with? Typically, a bet that high means that it will hold at least two pairs. In addition, your opponent would play such a high bet with 10-8, with every set and with a straight, i.e. J-9, 9-6 or 6-5.

In this case, the check on the turn makes no sense. All possible strong hands were already on the turn and must be defended against the two possible flush draws on the table. In addition, two pairs or a set would lose if J, 9, 6 or 5 came because these cards could complete a street. It can therefore be assumed that most of the players would not check on the turn with one of the above hands, but would bet.

Your opponent represents a hand on the river with which he would very likely have bet on the turn, so there is a contradiction in his actions. It is also possible that your opponent has a weak hand, for example because his flush draw has burst or he is holding AJ. In any case, his previous betting behavior fits the hand he represents on the river. Therefore, he is much more likely to try a bluff with a weak hand.

Of course there is no guarantee for this. They may call the bet and their opponent has completed a three of a kind on the river. Another time, your opponent played on the turn without concentration and checked with a street. However, if you believe that the opponent likes to bluff, then you should take the opportunity that the second hand offers you.

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